Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.391289 0.518442 0.664842 0.843420 1.052921 1.288570 1.571284
2025-11-02 0.221450 0.372348 0.572960 0.847744 1.203035 1.636211 2.193245
2025-11-09 0.114770 0.256320 0.476748 0.815070 1.292386 1.914829 2.760177
2025-11-16 0.067782 0.202170 0.444702 0.854133 1.472093 2.318464 3.512562
2025-11-23 0.035354 0.151120 0.397703 0.856096 1.593498 2.649076 4.188462
2025-11-30 0.021370 0.128598 0.391561 0.918181 1.805561 3.115689 5.069810
2025-12-07 0.011469 0.105529 0.374797 0.956007 1.979843 3.535361 5.903380
2025-12-14 0.005068 0.082742 0.348387 0.968708 2.110974 3.895231 6.664623
2025-12-21 0.001514 0.060532 0.311668 0.951812 2.187113 4.172309 7.314129
2025-12-28 0.000375 0.047577 0.293231 0.967265 2.317640 4.536261 8.100102
2026-01-04 0.000028 0.035891 0.271031 0.968690 2.420582 4.858759 8.832455
2026-01-11 NaN 0.024174 0.238387 0.937424 2.457713 5.074543 9.408569
2026-01-18 NaN 0.015796 0.210823 0.913026 2.507565 5.317514 10.042085
2026-01-25 NaN 0.011248 0.196841 0.920795 2.620807 5.670554 10.856470
2026-02-01 NaN 0.006423 0.170944 0.887764 2.647052 5.876380 11.446769
2026-02-08 NaN 0.005109 0.170381 0.930040 2.833155 6.363221 12.491749
2026-02-15 NaN 0.003210 0.158180 0.932549 2.933803 6.704246 13.312771
2026-02-22 NaN 0.002871 0.164830 0.998629 3.176945 7.303060 14.558565
2026-03-01 NaN 0.002181 0.163967 1.038837 3.364941 7.809150 15.664813
2026-03-08 NaN 0.001356 0.156039 1.052354 3.493641 8.212799 16.613222
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000600 0.140753 1.034483 3.548862 8.485022 17.352867
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000315 0.134873 1.050872 3.683884 8.905409 18.341951
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000116 0.125972 1.052389 3.783121 9.261920 19.231231